Jai-Alai Question of the Week


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#417 - (redux) Do certain players ''smell the win''

Posted on October 16, 2011 at 10:41:46 AM by Tiger

(a popular question from 2003)

You know, the 'killer instinct'. Get them within a notch of a victory and they rise to the occasion. I don't just mean somebody who wins a lot - but one who seems to win disproportionately often, relative to his appearances on the money board. If we had a game-points-won percentage, that would be the measure I'm talking about.

Statistics give us some help. Olate, for example, is:

That's a lot more wins (99) than would be expected for a .393 ITM. The pattern seems to repeat for other high percentage winners. Incidentally, the opposite could be true for another group. Wave the winner's prize, and they falter. Look at Arrieta, for instance:

His ITM% is right on average, but he hasn't put up corresponding wins.

Or, does it simply mean that they've won so many games, there aren't as many Place/Show possibilities left?

To be considered reliable, this pattern should be repeated over multiple seasons.

Check out your favorite heros and goats, and tell me what you think.

Dania Jai-Alai Players Statistics All Games Current Season 
Players Season Records 
STATISTICS COMPILED THROUGH 10/15/11 EVENING 

                                              WIN       % IN
  #  PLAYER              GP    W    P    S     %       MONEY

 49 AMIGORENA           693   82    88   97   0.118    0.385
 23 ANGEL               664   81    83   82   0.122    0.370
 53 ANNDY               744   95*   93   83   0.128    0.364
 32 ARREGUI             644   77    81   98   0.120    0.398
 24 ARRIAGA             573   68    68   67   0.119    0.354
 46 ARRIETA             714   79    89   97   0.111    0.371
 44 AZPIRI              664   80    95   76   0.120    0.378
 12 BEITIA              734   93*   91  100   0.127    0.387
 48 CANCIO              508   40    46   63   0.079    0.293
 18 CHASIO              678   98*   78   68   0.145    0.360
 22 DIEGO               643   95*  101   62   0.148    0.401
 55 ECHEVA              691   70    95   86   0.101    0.363
 50 ELIZALDE            664   83    74   90   0.125    0.372
 41 ENBIL               379   52    51   50   0.137    0.404
 11 ERIK                646   89*   96   97   0.138    0.437
 62 GARITA              559   64    61   74   0.114    0.356
 28 GINO                 71    8     7    7   0.113    0.310
 17 GONZALO             613   71    97   59   0.116    0.370
 16 GORRONO             635   73    82   69   0.115    0.353
 15 IBON                690   85    80   87   0.123    0.365
 39 ISRAEL              621   99*   83   70   0.159    0.406
 31 JAIRO               629  100*   74   87   0.159    0.415
 30 LARREA              496   56    58   66   0.113    0.363
 57 LARRU               369   41    43   54   0.111    0.374
 21 LAURENT             620   72    82   63   0.116    0.350
 52 LEO                 437   70    60   52   0.160    0.416
 29 MANEX               558   57    71   87   0.102    0.385
 34 MEDRANO             619   84    73   85   0.136    0.391
 19 MINTE               537   70    68   62   0.130    0.372
 42 OLATE               557   99*   72   48   0.178    0.393
 58 OYARBIDE            515   58    57   57   0.113    0.334
 25 SIERRA II           187   20    26   27   0.107    0.390
 68 SOLOZABAL           738  116*   86   91   0.157    0.397
 43 ULISES              646   83    77   77   0.128    0.367
 38 URBIETA             707   59    76   93   0.083    0.322
 89 URTARAN             656   71    79   83   0.108    0.355
 36 VEGA                 90   15     9   12   0.167    0.400
 47 XABAT               646   61    68  103   0.094    0.359
 54 ZULAIKA             716  105*  101   90   0.147    0.413
* Denotes Top Ten Wins

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