Jai-Alai Question of the Week


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#137 - Why is Post 8 better with certain other posts?

Posted on March 28, 2006 at 09:34:29 AM by Tiger

One idea is that, due to the proximity factor, #8 will often knock off #6 and #7 (or #1 and #2, for that matter). See the following table:

1st point       2nd point
played by #8    played by #8       Total
------------------------------------------
Opp# Prob%      Opp# Prob%     Opp# Tot%
 1    1.5625     1   50         1   51.5625
 2    1.5625     2   50         2   51.5625
 3    3.125      3    0         3    3.125
 4    6.25       4    0         4    6.25
 5   12.5        5    0         5   12.5
 6   25          6    0         6   25
 7   50          7    0         7   50

So, there's a strong liklihood that #8 will face 7, 1 or 2 in their first tour, then 6, 5, 4, 3 in that order. That means there should be more 8-3's than 8-4's, etc.

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