Jai-Alai Question of the Week

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#12 - Do certain players ''smell the win''?

Posted on November 2, 2003 at 08:39:41 AM by Tiger

You know, the 'killer instinct'. Get them within a notch of a victory and they rise to the occasion. I don't just mean somebody who wins a lot - but one who seems to win disproportionately often, relative to his appearances on the money board. If we had a game-points-won percentage, that would be the measure I'm talking about.

Statistics give us some help. Rekalde, for example, is:

That's a lot more wins (98) than would be expected for a .491 ITM. The pattern seems to repeat for other high percentage winners. Incidentally, the opposite could be true for another group. Wave the winner's prize, and they fold. Look at Joaka, for instance. His ITM% is right on average, but he can't seem to put up the wins.

To be considered reliable, this pattern should be repeated in multiple seasons.

Check out your favorite heros and goats, and tell me what you think.


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