Jai-Alai Question of the Week

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#410 - How small a pool before the Superfecta is 'unplayable'?

Posted on August 16, 2011 at 01:47:13 PM by Tiger

The small pools are killing almost any kind of bet.

In the Superfecta, for example, the most likely combos have about a 1 in 500 liklihood.

So (just as a 'for instance'), if the betting is proportional to the combo's liklihood, you get the following situation:

Pool      $ bet on 
size      high-probability
5,000      10
4,000       8
3,000       6
2,000       4
1,000       2

So, even a $1 bet on a more-likely finish can ripple the payoff. Is this acceptable?


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