Jai-alai Question of the Week


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Cisneros

Posted on December 28, 2009 at 10:40:09 AM by Tiger

His record since '05 is REMARKABLY consistent:

     Games
2005B 108   14- 10- 21   .130/.417
2006A 818  114-104-100   .139/.389
2006B 902  122-113- 98   .135/.369
2007A 678   95- 88- 84   .140/.394
2007B 779  107-118-113   .137/.434
2008A 803  106-101- 99   .132/.381
2008B 757  104-110-100   .137/.415
2009A 767   99-107-110   .129/.412
2009B 789  130-105- 93   .165/.416

And, pretty much all late games.

But the current season jumps to the next level, IMHO. His ITM percentage has held up, and he's winning a lot of the games where he was 2 or 3 before.

You're right that we can be distracted by normal statistical variation, most especially in the short term. Or, if we forget about our precious degrees of freedom.

Some even contend that it's all just one giant random walk, but I'd like to hear 'em explain Goiko

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