His record since '05 is REMARKABLY consistent:
Games 2005B 108 14- 10- 21 .130/.417 2006A 818 114-104-100 .139/.389 2006B 902 122-113- 98 .135/.369 2007A 678 95- 88- 84 .140/.394 2007B 779 107-118-113 .137/.434 2008A 803 106-101- 99 .132/.381 2008B 757 104-110-100 .137/.415 2009A 767 99-107-110 .129/.412 2009B 789 130-105- 93 .165/.416
And, pretty much all late games.
But the current season jumps to the next level, IMHO. His ITM
percentage has held up, and he's winning a lot of the games where
he was 2 or 3 before.
You're right that we can be distracted by normal statistical variation,
most especially in the short term. Or, if we forget about our
precious degrees of freedom.
Some even contend that it's all just one giant random walk, but
I'd like to hear 'em explain Goiko