This is definitely an intersting idea. A few questions/thoughts....
- The net pool figure is about 30% of the total, is that because
Hamilton's takeout on tri's is 30%...or just a conservative estimate?
- One concern is all those x-ALL-ALL tri's showing payouts of
less than $10 for getting the top number right, does this mean
there were 5-6 winners who each got that?
- Or could it be that the pools are even smaller than expected,
and possibly only 2-3 winning tickets on those?
But even if the pools were half of what was estimated, there could
be some profit potential here. Seems like the risk/reward ratio
would make this worth a shot....may be a limited window too as
if they start sending their signal out you'd expect the number
of tri refunds to go way down.
I guess one way to ballpark the tri pools is to look at combos
where the tri was hit and assume one winner....two at the most
- and then see what that payout equates to as to pool size.
