(suggested by Jody C)
Since Hamilton is offering $10,000 for a twin tri winner, how
should you play it?
Despite the pitiful pools, the $10K is guaranteed, so it looks
like there should be a good opportunity here. In fact, the pitiful
pools actually enhance your opportunity (less competition).
The key is how many first-half bets (probably all $1) to make
- $27 would cover 20% of the top trifectas (unweighted by player
rating). That means 1 chance in 5 of getting an exchange ticket,
after which a 1-4-2 or 2-4-1 is almost a 1 percent probability.
$82 covers 50% of the most likely first half outcomes.
The math looks pretty good to me.
This will be a 1-time shot, however. Once the $10K goes, I doubt
it will be refreshed, and the twin-tri bet (and pools) will be
toast.
