ok ill use 3-5 q for example and lets say that it comes in about
4% of the time in the long run with an average payoff of 30$.
100 games cost 200$, you win 4 times for 120, you lose 80$ for
every 100 games bet. now lets say you choose to bet only when
top teams are in the 3 and 5 post and you reach 7% and now your
average pay-out is 20$. 100 games cost 200$ again, you win 7 times
for 140, you lose 60$ for every 100 games bet. now this is all
hypothetical but proves my point. feel free to slam me if you
think im way off base here.